Seasonal Forecast Skill of ENSO Teleconnection Maps

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following

Diagnosing Sources of U.S. Seasonal Forecast Skill

ENSO index teleconnection with seasonal precipitation in a temperate ecosystem of northern Mexico

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important large-scale circulatory phenomenon that causes climatic variability in northern Mexico. The current challenge is to understand its consequences for both local climate and ecological processes of ecosystems. Within this context, we compared the degree of association of three different ENSO indices with local seasonal precipitation (P) in ...

Enhanced seasonal forecast skill following stratospheric sudden warmings

Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill?

Arctic sea ice thickness is thought to be an important predictor of Arctic sea ice extent. However, coupled seasonal forecast systems do not generally use sea ice thickness observations in their initialization and are therefore missing a potentially important source of additional skill. To investigate how large this source is, a set of ensemble potential predictability experiments with a global...